1)湖南师范大学工程与设计学院,长沙 410081;2)复旦大学附属中山医院内分泌科,上海 200032;3)湖南师范大学附属第一医院心血管流行病学研究室,长沙 410005;4)湖南师范大学附属第一医院内分泌科,长沙 410005
国家自然科学基金(32171366,32201134),湖南省重点领域研发计划(2023SK2059)和湖南省自然科学基金(2024JJ5271,2025JJ50156)资助项目。
1)College of Engineering and Design, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China;2)Department of Endocrinology, Zhongshan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China;3)Cardiovascular Epidemiology Laboratory, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410005, China;4)Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410005, China
This work was supported by grants from The National Natural Science Foundation of China (32171366, 32201134), Key-Area Research and Development Program of Hunan Province (2023SK2059), and Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (2024JJ5271, 2025JJ50156).
心血管疾病(CVD)、慢性肾病(CKD)和代谢性疾病是威胁人类健康的三大慢性疾病,三者密切相关且常常合并存在,大大增加了疾病的管理难度。为此,2023年10月美国心脏协会(AHA)提出了“心血管-肾脏-代谢(cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic,CKM)综合征”这一新型疾病概念,引发全球对于心肾共治及代谢性疾病防治的广泛关注。本综述的核心观点是,应对CKM综合征需要构建一个整合生物学、技术与社会因素的多维度诊断与风险预测新范式。本文首先阐明CKM的核心病理机制,即由脂肪组织功能失调驱动的、以炎症和氧化应激为核心的“代谢毒性环境”,是连接各器官损伤的共同通路。高危人群不仅表现出传统生物学特征,其风险更被健康社会决定因素(SDoH)显著放大(风险可升高1.18~3.50倍),凸显了公平性在筛查中的重要性。在诊断技术层面,本文系统梳理了从传统到前沿的技术进展:生物标志物(如NT-proBNP、UACR、SII、Klotho蛋白)的联合应用,实现了从单一指标向多器官损伤综合评估的转变;无创监测技术(如多波长光电容积描记术(PPG)、心阻抗图(ICG))为动态捕捉亚临床阶段的微循环与血流动力学异常提供了关键窗口;而人工智能定量计算机断层扫描(CT)分析(AI-QCT)等影像学技术,通过将6个月内心血管事件预测的曲线下面积(AUC)从0.637提升至0.688,展现了精准识别早期结构与功能病变的巨大潜力。在风险预测层面,本综述探讨了从传统工具到人工智能模型的演进:新型PREVENT方程通过整合肾功能指标(估算肾小球滤过率(estimated glomerular filtration rate,eGFR)、尿白蛋白/肌酐比值(urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio,UACR)),可将CKD检出率提高20%~30%,实现了对亚临床器官损伤的更精准识别;而基于机器学习的动态模型则代表了未来方向,例如XGBoost算法对365 d内心血管事件的预测AUC可达0.82,深度学习模型(KFDeep)对肾衰竭风险的预测AUC更高达0.946,彰显了AI在处理多模态数据与实现个体化、动态预测方面的显著优势。本文最后展望未来研究应聚焦于多模态数据深度融合、AI驱动的新型标志物开发、SDoH精细化干预及跨学科协作,共同构建一个高效、精准且公平的CKM筛查与干预体系。
Cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and metabolic disorders are the 3 major chronic diseases threatening human health, which are closely related and often coexist, significantly increasing the difficulty of disease management. In response, the American Heart Association (AHA) proposed a novel disease concept of “cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome” in October 2023, which has triggered widespread concern about the co-treatment of heart and kidney diseases and the prevention and treatment of metabolic disorders around the world. This review posits that effectively managing CKM syndrome requires a new and multidimensional paradigm for diagnosis and risk prediction that integrates biological insights, advanced technology and social determinants of health (SDoH). We argue that the core pathological driver is a “metabolic toxic environment”, fueled by adipose tissue dysfunction and characterized by a vicious cycle of systemic inflammation and oxidative stress, which forms a common pathway to multi-organ injury. The at-risk population is defined not only by biological characteristics but also significantly impacted by adverse SDoH, which can elevate the risk of advanced CKM by a factor of 1.18 to 3.50, underscoring the critical need for equity in screening and care strategies. This review systematically charts the progression of diagnostic technologies. In diagnostics, we highlight a crucial shift from single-marker assessments to comprehensive multi-marker panels. The synergistic application of traditional biomarkers like NT-proBNP (reflecting cardiac stress) and UACR (indicating kidney damage) with emerging indicators such as systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and Klotho protein facilitates a holistic evaluation of multi-organ health. Furthermore, this paper explores the pivotal role of non-invasive monitoring technologies in detecting subclinical disease. Techniques like multi-wavelength photoplethysmography (PPG) and impedance cardiography (ICG) provide a real-time window into microcirculatory and hemodynamic status, enabling the identification of early, often asymptomatic, functional abnormalities that precede overt organ failure. In imaging, progress is marked by a move towards precise, quantitative evaluation, exemplified by artificial intelligence-powered quantitative computed tomography (AI-QCT). By integrating AI-QCT with clinical risk factors, the predictive accuracy for cardiovascular events within 6 months significantly improves, with the area under the curve (AUC) increasing from 0.637 to 0.688, demonstrating its potential for reclassifying risk in CKM stage 3. In the domain of risk prediction, we trace the evolution from traditional statistical tools to next-generation models. The new PREVENT equation represents a major advancement by incorporating key kidney function markers (eGFR, UACR), which can enhance the detection rate of CKD in primary care by 20%-30%. However, we contend that the future lies in dynamic, machine learning-based models. Algorithms such as XGBoost have achieved an AUC of 0.82 for predicting 365-day cardiovascular events, while deep learning models like KFDeep have demonstrated exceptional performance in predicting kidney failure risk with an AUC of 0.946. Unlike static calculators, these AI-driven tools can process complex, multimodal data and continuously update risk profiles, paving the way for truly personalized and proactive medicine. In conclusion, this review advocates for a paradigm shift toward a holistic and technologically advanced framework for CKM management. Future efforts must focus on the deep integration of multimodal data, the development of novel AI-driven biomarkers, the implementation of refined SDoH-informed interventions, and the promotion of interdisciplinary collaboration to construct an efficient, equitable, and effective system for CKM screening and intervention.
侯淞,张林杉,洪秀琴,张弛,刘瑛,张彩丽,朱艳,林海军,张甫,杨宇祥.心血管-肾脏-代谢(CKM)综合征诊断技术与风险预测[J].生物化学与生物物理进展,2025,52(10):2585-2601
复制

扫码关注 生物化学与生物物理进展 ® 2026 网站版权 ICP:京ICP备05023138号-1 京公网安备 11010502031771号
